$Yen Indicator | shinypennystocks.com

Bull & Bear Tracker’s signal back to GREEN

Wed, 01 Aug 2018 18:55:21 +0000

The signal for the Bull & Bear Tracker is now GREEN. The signal had been RED since July 20, 2018. See Equities article “Signal for Bull & Bear Tracker has gone RED”. The signal switched from RED to GREEN due to the volatility between the US Dollar and Japanese Yen exchange rate decreasing.

For the period that the signal had been RED the S&P 500 went from 2803.00 when it went became effective on July 20, 2018 at 2:00PM to 2815.15 at the market’s open on August 1, 2018. During the eleven days the RED signal was in effect the S&P 500 increased by 0.42% .

The SPXS, the vehicle recommended to trade the RED signal went from $24.07 to $23.26, representing a 3.3% decline during the eleven days that the signal was in effect. Now that the signal is GREEN, the recommended vehicle to trade the signal is the SPXL Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF (SPXL), a triple leveraged long ETF derivative for the S&P 500.

To learn about Dollar Yen exchange rate volatility being a leading indicator of the direction of S&P 500 watch the 2-minute video below entitled “Dollar/Yen Leading indicator for S&P 500 Direction”. There are charts and graphs on this page at ProfitFromTheCrash.com which provide additional information on the intimate relationship between the Dollar/Yen and the S&P 500.

For alerts and updates about the Bull & Bear Tracker’s signals and to insure access to all of my articles, reports and alerts go to www.profitfromthecrash.com. My February 6, 2018 article “BULL DEAD, BEAR DOB 01/31/18: Expect Stock Market Decline of at Least 50%”) about the new bear market being born on January 31, 2018 is highly recommended.

For those investors who do not want to take minimal risk and yet have the potential for their portfolios to grow I am recommending the deployment of a 90/10 Crash Protection Strategy. For information on the strategy which is the only fail-safe strategy that one can utilize to protect their liquid assets from crashes, recessions and depressions view video below entitled “Profit From the Crash”.

Signal for Bull & Bear Tracker has gone RED

Fri, 20 Jul 2018 19:08:59 +0000

The signal for the Bull & Bear Tracker has gone to RED. The signal had been GREEN since June 1, 2018. See my article “Two signal changes for Bull & Bear Tracker since May 23rd”. The signal switched from GREEN to RED due to the volatility of the US Dollar Japanese Yen exchange rate increasing over the last 48 hours.

For the period that the signal had been GREEN the S&P 500 went from 2,718.70 to 2803.00 today July 20, 2018 at 2:00 PM US Eastern time. During the period that the signal was green the S&P 500 increased by 3.1%.

The trading vehicle that I recommended to trade the GREEN signal which is the SPXL performed significantly better than the S&P 500 and increased by 7.5%. The SPXL which is a triple leveraged long ETF derivative for the S&P 500 went from $45.26, as of the close of June 1st to $48.66, on July 20, 2018. Now that the signal is RED, the recommended vehicle to trade the signal is the SPXS, a triple leveraged short ETF derivative for the S&P 500. The SPXS is presently trading for $24.12 per share.

To learn about Dollar Yen exchange rate volatility being a leading indicator of the direction of S&P 500 and why the potential for a market crash is heightened while a RED signal is in effect watch the 2-minute video below entitled “Dollar/Yen Leading indicator for S&P 500 Direction”. Also, my article “NIRP Crash Indicator Renamed “Bull & Bear Tracker”; Signal Now GREEN” is highly recommended. Finally, there are charts and graphs at BullsNBears.net which provide additional information about the intimate relationship between the Dollar/Yen and the S&P 500.

For those investors who do not want to take minimal risk and not be exposed to a potential crash and yet have the potential for their portfolios to be safe and to also grow I am recommending the deployment of a 90/10 Crash Protection Strategy. For information on the strategy which is the only fail-safe strategy that one can utilize to protect their liquid assets from crashes, recessions and depressions view video below entitled “Profit From the Crash”.

For alerts and updates about the Bull & Bear Tracker’s signals and to ensure access to all of my articles, reports and alerts go to www.bullsNbears.net. My February 6, 2018 article “BULL DEAD, BEAR DOB 01/31/18: Expect Stock Market Decline of at Least 50%”) about the new bear market being born on January 31, 2018 is highly recommended.

Research subjects covered by BullsNBears include Crashes, Crypto Infrastructure, Secular Bull & Bear Markets, Tesla, Markets & Economy, Tariffs, Perfect Shorts Research, $Yen Indicator, Digital Economy, Startups & Microcaps, Non-Public Markets and Digital Tax Impact.

Two signal changes for Bull & Bear Tracker since May 23rd

Sat, 02 Jun 2018 16:42:25 +0000

Prior to the market opening on June 1, 2018 the Bull & Bear Tracker’s went from RED to GREEN. The signal had been RED since May 23, 2018. See “Bull & Bear Tracker’s Signal has changed”. The signal switched from RED to GREEN due to the volatility between the US Dollar and Japanese Yen exchange rate decreasing.

For the period that the signal had been RED the S&P 500 went from 2714.97, when it went became effective on May 23, 2018 to 2718.70, the market’s open on June 1, 2018. During the five days the RED signal was in effect the S&P 500 fell to an intraday low of 2679.12 a decline of 1.4%. The SPXS, the trading vehicle recommended to trade the RED signal went from $26.42 to $26.54 during the five days that the signal was in effect. Now that the signal is GREEN, the recommended vehicle to trade the signal is the SPXL: Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF, a triple leveraged long ETF derivative for the S&P 500.

Bull & Bear Tracker’s Signal has changed

Wed, 23 May 2018 21:50:15 +0000

The signal for the Bull & Bear Tracker is now RED. The signal had been GREEN since April 9, 2018. See Equities article “NIRP Crash Indicator Renamed “Bull & Bear Tracker”; Signal Now GREEN”. The signal switched from GREEN to RED due to the increase volatility of the US Dollar Japanese Yen exchange rate.

For the period that the signal had been GREEN the S&P 500 went from 2,613.16, the close of April 9th to 2,713.98, the market open on May 23rd, an increase of 3.8%. However, the trading vehicle that I recommended to trade the GREEN signal which was the SPXL performed significantly better increasing by more than 10%. The SPXL which is a triple leveraged long ETF derivative for the S&P 500 went from $39.79, as of the close of April 9th to $44.19, the market open for today May 23rd. Now that the signal is RED, the recommended vehicle to trade the signal is the SPXS, a triple leveraged short ETF derivative for the S&P 500.

Disclaimer. Mr. Markowski’s predictions are frequently ahead of the curve. The September 2007 predictions that appeared in his EquitiesMagazine.com column stated that share-price collapses of the five major brokers, including Lehman and Bear Stearns, were imminent. While accurate, they proved to be premature. For this reason he had to advise readers to get out a second time in his January 2008 column entitled “Brokerages and the Sub-Prime Crash”. His third and final warning to get out, and stay out, occurred in October of 2008 after Lehman had filed for bankruptcy. In that article “The Carnage for Financials Isn’t Over” he reiterated that share prices for Goldman and Morgan Stanley were too high. By the end of November 2008, the share prices of both had fallen by an additional 60% and 70%, respectively — new all-time lows.

Near Term Market Prognosis 04/13/18

Fri, 13 Apr 2018 22:00:43 +0000

By overcoming a flurry of negative news stories since the beginning of April 2018, the market is sending a message to investors that it clearly wants to move higher over the near term. The recent negative news stories that caused significant declines which the market has overcome:

April 3, 2018, China announced the enacting tariffs on 106 US product categories.
April 5, 2018, President Trump announced that he was increasing China’s tariffs by $100 billion.
April 9, 2018, FBI raided house of President Trump’s attorney.
April 11, 2018, President Trump informed Russia that US was readying to fire missiles into Syria.

There are two things that are driving the market higher for the near term:

First quarter 2018, earnings announcements by US corporations which will commence during the week beginning April 16 are anticipated to be good.

After reaching one year low on March 24, 2018, the Dollar/Yen ($Yen) exchange rate reached its highest level since February 2018. Assuming that the US Dollar remains stable or continues in a steady climb versus the yen the S&P 500 will likely remain in an uptrend. View video below to learn why the dollar/yen exchange rate is a leading indicator for the S&P 500.

Assuming that the US dollar maintains its strength versus the Japanese yen the market could make an attempt to challenge its January 2018 all-time high by late Spring or early Summer. However, this potentially happening does not change my prognosis for a minimum market decline of 50% from the January 2018 high in the next 12 months.

Based on the key economic and geo political events including a trade war between the US and China which has erupted since the major US indices hit their all-time highs in late January, I have been predicting that the probability has increased that the all-time highs for the 2009 to 2018 secular bull have been made. In my February 2018, article “BULL DEAD, BEAR DOB 01/31/18: Expect Stock Market Decline of at Least 50%” my prediction was that the 2009-2018 secular bull died and that the new secular bear was born in January 2018. To gain an understanding about secular bull and bear markets watch the video below:

For those who want to remain in the markets until the significant correction begins or who wish to profit from trading the S&P 500’s triple leveraged short (SPXS) and long (SPXL) ETFs a subscription to the Bull & Bear Tracker is recommended. The Bull & Bear Tracker has a proprietary algorithm which tracks the market. For information about the $Yen (Dollar/Yen) which powers the Bull & Bear Tracker to trade the S&P 500 go to https://shinypennystocks.com/yen-sp-500/. To subscribe go to www.bullbeartracker.com.

NIRP Crash Indicator renamed “Bull & Bear Tracker”, new signal issued

Mon, 09 Apr 2018 19:26:58 +0000

The NIRP Crash Indicator which was in service during 2016 has been pulled out of retirement. The signal is now GREEN which indicates that the S&P 500 at least for the short term will go higher. In my February article, I predicted that the highs for the 2009 Bull that were made in January of 2018 would not be eclipsed until the next secular Bull market.

The NIRP Crash Indicator has undergone a makeover and a name change to “Bull & Bear Tracker”. There is no longer a yellow signal. The old YELLOW was switched to the color GREEN and the old green which had never been used has been eliminated.

The proprietary indicator is being rushed back into service due to market volatility increasing substantially in 2018 as compared to 2017. The chart below depicts that for the first year of Mr. Trump’s Presidency the market had the lowest volatility for any year over the past 68 years.

The NIRP Crash Indicator’s was developed by myself in 2016 to monitor for potential crashes. The impetus for its development had been my concerns about the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) instituting of a negative interest rate policy (NIRP) and the spreading of negative interest rates putting the global markets and banking systems on the verge of a crash. See “Here’s How Japan’s NIRP Increases the Probability of Global Market Crash” and “New Indicator to Predict Future Market Crashes”.

The signals were effective throughout 2016. From March 1, 2016, through December 31, 2016, the ORANGE signals predicted heightened volatility and the RED signal predicted the BREXIT crash. See equities.com article “NIRP Crash Indicator Signals Very Reliable for 2016” and chart below.

Due to the ebbing of the negative interest rates immediately after Mr. Trump’s election as President and the unprecedented period of low volatility the NIRP Crash Indicator was disengaged in March of 2017. See equities.com article “No Longer a Need for NIRP Crash Indicator Signals”.

In my reviewing of the NIRP Crash Indicator’s 2016 signals it dawned on me that the YELLOW or LONG signals could have been utilized by my readers at equities.com and also Seeking Alpha to trade leveraged ETFs such as the SPXL. I had never before given that consideration since I had been intently focused to develop the indicator to monitor for crashes. It had never occurred to me to see how an investor who utilized its yellow non-crash signal to purchase a triple leveraged S&P 500 ETF such as the SPXL would have performed.

Upon conducting further research, I calculated that an investor could have made a return of 36.79% from utilizing the indicator’s ORANGE, RED and YELLOW signals to trade the SPXL and also the SPXS, a triple leveraged S&P 500 short ETF. For each day during the 10-month March 1 through December 31, 2016 period that the NIRP Crash Indicator was monitoring the market one of the NIRP’s three signals had been in effect. The hypothetical returns based on trading the SPXL and SPXS compared to a gain of 13.4% for the S&P 500 and a net return of 4.2% for those investors who bought and held the two S&P 500 related ETFS during the 10-month period. See table below.

For more information about the Bull & Bear Tracker go to www.bullbeartracker.com. To insure access to all of my articles, reports and alerts covering the new bear market which was born on January 31, 2018 (see my February 6, article “BULL DEAD, BEAR DOB 01/31/18: Expect Stock Market Decline of at Least 50%”) go to www.profitfromthecrash.com.